<em>Historical storm periodicity along the eastern coast of Australia (1870-present</em><em>).</em>   — Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society

Historical storm periodicity along the eastern coast of Australia (1870-present).   (#130)

Jessie Gray 1 , Nathan B English 1 , Jasmine B.D. Jaffrés 2 , Danielle Verdon-Kidd 3
  1. School of Health, Medical and Applied Sciences, Central Queensland University, Townsville, QLD, Australia
  2. C & R Consulting Firm, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
  3. School of Environmental and Life Sciences, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia

 

The east coast of Australia accounts for 81% of the country’s total population and is, the area most impacted economically by storm events. Indeed, the accumulated damages from storm-related natural disasters were reported to be $17.25 billion per annum in accordance with the Australian Business Roundtable for Disaster Resilience & Safer Communities (2017; ABS 2019). With the lack of historical records alongside lengthy periods of inactive/active storm activity, the ability for effective disaster risk management is hindered. Therefore, quantifying historical periodicity in large-scale storm events could be a major predictor in determining actions for preparation and risk reduction within Australia. This study aims to compare the historical frequency of several types of storms (e.g. tropical cyclones, east coast lows and low-pressure system) that are commonly experienced along the eastern coast of Australia and identify possible historical trends from 1870 to present. To achieve this, time series and cluster analysis were carried out to identify primary pathways of storm tracks and their periodicities. Key climate factors and environmental conditions were then analysed to determine the driving forces in storm generation for each pathway. The results from this study build upon the understanding and knowledge of storm events that have occurred along the east coast of Australia over the last 150 years. Further, this research can assist in providing much-needed information for the development of effective disaster management strategies for high-risk areas in the future.

 

  1. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) 2019, 3101.0- Australian Demographic Statistics, Dec 2018, viewed 5th September 2019, https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/3101.0Main%20Features1Dec%202018?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=3101.0&issue=Dec%202018&num=&view=.
  2. Australian Business Roundtable for Disaster Resilience & Safer Communities 2017, Building resilience to natural disasters in our states and territories report 2017, viewed 5th September 2019, http://australianbusinessroundtable.com.au/assets/documents/ABR_building-resilience-in-our-states-and-territories.pdf.
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